To justify the war in Ukraine, Russia must demonstrate achievements at home.

• A deal with Ukraine may not be reached until Putin achieves a victory, according to Matthew Sussex of Griffith University, who spoke to CNBC on Thursday.
• William Courtney, an adjunct senior fellow at Rand Corporation, stated that the Russians may be looking to shift their forces to the east in an attempt to secure a victory, as the Ukrainians and the international community currently view Russia as a loser rather than a winner.
• Analysts also discussed the progress of talks between Russia and Ukraine.

Political analysts informed CNBC that Russia may require a form of victory before withdrawing from the conflict in Ukraine, and the possibility of an escalation of the war remains at this time.

Moscow may regroup and concentrate on the Donbas region, where they have made progress, despite their pledge to decrease military activity near Kyiv, according to experts.

In eastern Ukraine lies the Donbas region, which is made up of two self-proclaimed republics: Donetsk and Luhansk. After Russia illegally annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014, separatists backed by Russia broke away from the Ukrainian government.

William Courtney, an adjunct senior fellow at Rand Corporation, stated that the Russians may be looking to shift their forces to the east in an attempt to secure a victory, as the Ukrainians and the international community currently view Russia as a loser rather than a winner.

Moscow anticipated a rapid triumph when it launched an attack on Ukraine on February 24th. However, the Ukrainians have shown strong opposition, and Russia is still struggling to make progress after over a month of conflict.

The reduction of military activity around Ukraine's capital by Moscow has been met with skepticism.

According to Christopher Miller of Tufts University, Russia's promise to reduce its military presence in Kyiv is merely a "military reality" and a "diversion from the true fighting" occurring in the east.

He stated on Wednesday that although the Ukrainians had pushed them back somewhat, the majority of the fighting in the upcoming weeks would likely occur in the Donbas and eastern Ukraine, rather than in Kyiv.

According to Miller, an assistant professor of international history at Tufts, Russia is currently in the final stages of the siege of Mariupol on the Donbas coast and is attempting to seize a significant portion of territory from Ukrainian forces.

He informed "Squawk Box Asia" that the Russian government is attempting to claim enough territory to present the conflict as a victory and justify the high cost of the war, despite the unexpected expense.

Griffith University's adjunct associate professor, Matthew Sussex, shared the same viewpoint.

Putin needs a win before agreeing to a deal with Ukraine, he said on CNBC on Thursday.

Putin's bargaining power will be enhanced if he gains control of Ukrainian territory, he stated.

Sussex stated on CNBC last week that it would be beneficial for him to acquire as much Ukrainian territory as possible. He explained that he could then sell the territory back home and internationally as a significant victory or at least a partial victory.

Russia-Ukraine talks

A member of Ukraine's delegation has announced that Russia and Ukraine will resume talks on Friday.

Sussex stated that he views negotiations between the two sides as a "delaying tactic to give Russian forces time to reorganize and assess their position."

Some analysts believe that negotiations may become more significant in the future, but they are not currently at that stage.

According to Melinda Haring, deputy director of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center, it will take several more weeks and months for the Russians to agree to genuine negotiations.

According to Miller of Tufts University, it appears that both sides are currently satisfied with continuing the conflict as Ukraine is unwilling to surrender and Russia is not yet prepared to relinquish.

Although he stated that the two sides are now nearer than before, several crucial issues remain unresolved, such as the control of Donbas by which country.

Miller stated that the decision will be made both on the battlefield and through talks, and although he is hesitant to say so, the major territorial issue remains unresolved, making it difficult to determine if they are closer to a solution.