The possibility of South and North Korean troops entering the Ukraine war is unlikely to cause a regional conflict, according to analysts.

• According to a domestic media report, South Korea is contemplating deploying intelligence agents to Ukraine.
• The country announced that it was considering providing military aid to Ukraine.
• The U.S. on Wednesday have confirmed North Korean troops were sent to Russia.

Experts believe that the potential involvement of South and North Korea troops in the Russia-Ukraine war is unlikely to cause a broader conflict between the two Korean nations.

According to Yonhap News, South Korea is reportedly mulling over the possibility of deploying intelligence personnel to Ukraine.

According to the Defense Ministry of South Korea, North Korea may have deployed up to 12,000 soldiers to fight alongside Russia.

According to Yonhap, South Korea may utilize military personnel from intelligence units to analyze North Korean battlefield tactics or participate in interrogations of captured North Koreans.

On Wednesday, the U.S. confirmed that North Korean troops were in Russia.

If Moscow and Pyongyang cooperate, South Korea may send arms to Ukraine.

According to reports, South Korea President Yoon Seok Yeol announced a change in Seoul's longstanding policy of not providing weapons to countries in conflicts.

It is unlikely that South Korea will allow its troops to engage in combat in Ukraine, according to experts' predictions.

According to Nah Liang Tuang, a research fellow at Singapore's S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, it is unlikely that the Yoon administration will authorize the deployment of troops for combat operations on Ukrainian soil.

Kyiv's partners already have noncombatant observers in Ukraine, so Seoul deploying observers will not be a significant escalation, according to Nah.

If Seoul provides military assistance to Ukraine, it could encourage other allies to do the same.

According to Naoko Aoki, a political scientist at Rand, the messaging we are seeing is likely aimed at preventing the actual deployment of North Korean troops to Ukraine from Russia. However, the outcome of this situation is still uncertain.

If both Korean countries deploy personnel, there is a possibility of contact, which could complicate the situation significantly. However, the outcome will depend on the deployment of North Korean troops.

If North Korean troops breach Ukrainian defensive lines and come into contact with South Korean personnel embedded with Ukrainian units, South Korean troops would be defending themselves, which would limit the nature of the combat.

The political impact of such an encounter would be minimal, as both Moscow and Pyongyang have denied the involvement of North Korean troops in the conflict.

Korea concerns

In recent weeks, tensions on the peninsula have escalated, with North Korea destroying bridges and roads on its side, following the launch of trash balloons into South Korea earlier this year. Additionally, North Korea has accused South Korea of sending drones carrying propaganda leaflets over Pyongyang.

Some experts believe that armed conflict is unlikely to occur despite rising tensions.

Pyongyang aims to strengthen its relationship with Moscow in order to obtain advanced weapons technology and combat experience, as highlighted.

"Kim Jong Un views his relationship with Vladimir Putin as transactional, despite being located in a geostrategic silo that is not directly linked to war prospects on the Korean Peninsula, according to RSIS' Nah."