The pace of AI development is beginning to slow down, as Google CEO Sundar Pichai notes that the "low-hanging fruit" has been picked.
Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google, predicts that generative artificial intelligence will not significantly alter your life in 2025 beyond what it has already done.
Generative AI captured the imagination of users worldwide when OpenAI launched ChatGPT two years ago. However, with the competitive landscape now established, including Google's competing models, it may take time for another technological breakthrough to drive the AI industry into rapid development again, as Pichai stated at the New York Times' DealBook Summit last week.
"I believe the progress will become more challenging. As I look towards 2025, the low-hanging fruit has been picked," said Pichai, adding: "The path ahead is steeper ... You'll need to make deeper breakthroughs to reach the next stage."
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As Pichai stated, current language models, such as ChatGPT, Google's Gemini, and Meta's Llama, will continue to improve, particularly in their ability to reason and complete a sequence of actions more reliably. These advancements could help bring AI closer to generating profits for corporate users, despite the significant investments in the technology that are expected to exceed $1 trillion in the coming years, as reported by Goldman Sachs.
Pichai stated that another significant change in how people perceive or imagine AI is unlikely to occur in the next year.
Microsoft's Satya Nadella, like Pichai, believes that industry growth has not been consistent over the past 70 years, and it will never be a straight line. Nadella made this statement at the Fast Company Innovation Festival 2024 in October.
In November, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman posted "there is no wall" on social media platform X, responding to reports that the recently released ChatGPT-4 was only moderately better than previous models.
AI's advancement is not limited, Pichai stated; even small improvements will enhance the technology, making it more practical and valuable for a broader range of individuals. Some jobs in the industry that don't require a college degree can pay well: According to ZipRecruiter, the average salary for AI trainers is over $64,000 per year, and prompt engineers earn more than $110,000.
Pichai stated that in 10 years, computer programming will be accessible to a larger population.
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