The Fed may cut interest rates again in December but skip January, according to traders' predictions.

The Fed may cut interest rates again in December but skip January, according to traders' predictions.
The Fed may cut interest rates again in December but skip January, according to traders' predictions.
  • The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point in November fueled anticipation for further cuts in December.
  • The federal funds rate was lowered by the U.S. central bank to a range of 4.5% to 4.75% on Thursday afternoon.

After the Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter percentage point in November, expectations for a December interest rate cut remained strong. However, market pricing is now suggesting the possibility of a "skip" in January.

The federal funds rate, set by the U.S. central bank, was lowered to a range of 4.5% to 4.75% on Thursday afternoon. This rate determines what banks charge each other for overnight lending.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicated that before the Fed's decision was released at 2 p.m. ET, market pricing suggested a 67% chance of a quarter-point cut in December and a 33% chance of a pause that month.

The likelihood of a quarter-point December rate cut increased to over 70% after the meeting, while the likelihood of a pause decreased to approximately 29%. The future rate probabilities obtained from the CME FedWatch Tool are based on trading in 30-day fed funds futures contracts.

The probability of the Federal Reserve not reducing interest rates in January was approximately 71%, which was slightly higher than 67% before the Fed's November decision was announced on Thursday afternoon.

— CNBC's Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

by Lisa Kailai Han

Markets