July jobs report anticipation causes treasury yields to decline.

July jobs report anticipation causes treasury yields to decline.
July jobs report anticipation causes treasury yields to decline.

On Friday, U.S. Treasury yields were lower due to investors anticipating the July jobs report and considering the interest rate outlook.

The 10-year Treasury yield dropped by more than two basis points to 3.9529% on Thursday, staying below the 4% mark it reached for the first time since February. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was last recorded at around two basis points lower to 4.1450%.

An inverse relationship exists between yields and prices, with one basis point equivalent to 0.01%.

The jobs report for July from the U.S. Labor Department will be released on Friday, shedding light on the economy's condition.

Nonfarm payrolls are predicted to have grown by 185,000, which is lower than the 206,000 increase reported in June. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.1%.

The latest weekly initial jobless claims came in at 249,000, far above the forecast 235,000, and continuing claims rose to their highest level since November 2021.

Central bank actions have been a topic of discussion among investors, with the Federal Reserve indicating a possible rate cut in September, resulting in lower Treasury yields.

Jerome Powell, the Fed Chairman, stated in a post-meeting press conference that policymakers believed the economy was nearing a point where rate cuts would be "suitable," and that a cut could occur as early as September.

Powell stated that the central bank would monitor inflation, labor market signals, and other indicators.

The Bank of England announced it was cutting interest rates for the first time in over four years on Thursday.

by Sophie Kiderlin

Markets