Despite another report indicating inflation is decreasing, treasury yields increase.

Despite another report indicating inflation is decreasing, treasury yields increase.
Despite another report indicating inflation is decreasing, treasury yields increase.

On Wednesday, U.S. Treasury yields increased, recouping some of their losses from the previous session, as investors processed inflation data indicating that the Federal Reserve might have finished raising rates.

On Wednesday, the 2-year Treasury yield increased by 10 basis points to 4.91%, after dropping by 21 basis points on Tuesday. Additionally, the benchmark climbed 10 basis points to 4.54%, having lost 18 basis points on Tuesday to fall below the 4.5% mark.

Prices and yields move in opposite directions, with one basis point equal to 0.01%.

After another positive inflation report, the producer price index for October unexpectedly decreased by 0.5%, despite economists predicting a 0.1% increase.

The decline in the PPI for goods, which fell by 1.4%, was the main driver of the decline. Meanwhile, the prices for final demand services remained stable month over month.

The release of the October consumer price index reading caused a decline in treasury yields on Tuesday, as the annual rate for the core CPI reached a two-year low of 4%.

The core-CPI, excluding food and energy prices, showed a 0.2% increase on a monthly basis. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had previously predicted the figures to be 4.1% and 0.3%, respectively.

The CME Group's FedWatch tool showed that the data led markets to almost completely eliminate any possibility of a rate hike in December. The likelihood of rates remaining unchanged was at 99.8% according to the data.

Since the Fed's last meeting, where it left rates unchanged but kept the door open for rates to rise further, questions have been circulating about whether the central bank would need to hike rates even more to bring inflation back to its 2% target.

On Wednesday, the producer price index will release additional inflation data, while retail sales figures for October are also anticipated.

The U.K. inflation for October, released on Wednesday, was lower than expected at 4.6% on an annual basis.

by Lisa Kailai Han

markets