Biden's statement on Iran's potential cease-fire with Israel maintains oil prices stability.

Biden's statement on Iran's potential cease-fire with Israel maintains oil prices stability.
Biden's statement on Iran's potential cease-fire with Israel maintains oil prices stability.
  • President Joe Biden stated that a cease-fire agreement in Gaza might hinder Iran from launching an attack on Israel.
  • The president stated that achieving a cease-fire is becoming increasingly difficult.
  • Earlier this week, oil prices rose due to Iran-Israel tensions, but have since decreased due to softening demand in China.
These situations will not settle themselves, says Atlantic Council's Fred Krempe on geopolitics

On Wednesday, U.S. crude traded above $78 per barrel as President Biden stated that Iran may abstain from attacking Israel if a cease-fire agreement is reached in Gaza, causing oil futures to remain unchanged.

Biden stated that he believes Iran will not attack Israel if a cease-fire agreement is reached to end the conflict in Gaza, although he acknowledged that negotiations are becoming increasingly difficult.

New cease-fire talks are set to commence in Qatar on Thursday, but Hamas has informed Reuters that they will not participate in the discussions.

Here are Wednesday's energy prices:

  • The September contract price for crude oil is $78.31 per barrel, which is a decrease of 4 cents or 0.05%. To date in the year, the US has seen an increase of approximately 9.3% in crude oil.
  • The October contract price per barrel is $80.76, an increase of 7 cents or 0.09%, while the global benchmark is leading 4.8% year to date.
  • The price of gasoline in September is $2.36 per gallon, which is a decrease of 1 cent or 0.5%. However, year to date, gasoline prices have increased by approximately 12.4%.
  • The September contract price for natural gas is $2.16 per thousand cubic feet, which represents a decrease of over 1 cent or 0.79%. To date, gas prices have fallen by 13.9% year-over-year.

After a Hamas leader was assassinated in Tehran two weeks ago, Iran has threatened to retaliate against Israel. In response, Israel has increased its military readiness, and the U.S. is sending a carrier strike group and guided missile submarine to the region to protect its ally.

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On Monday, U.S. crude oil prices increased by more than 4% due to rising tensions between Iran and Israel. However, the market has since retraced as decreasing demand in China has affected the market.

In Washington, there is a widely held belief that Iran does not desire a full-blown war and instead prefers a low-intensity, proxy conflict, according to Helima Croft, the head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, who shared this view with clients in a research note on Tuesday.

The White House's efforts to control the conflict in Gaza may be challenging, as a cease-fire agreement remains elusive, according to Croft. Furthermore, delaying an attack by Iran beyond this week appears risky, she stated.

by Spencer Kimball

Markets