Nearly all gains in U.S. crude oil for 2024 are erased as China manufacturing contracts and an OPEC output hike looms.

Nearly all gains in U.S. crude oil for 2024 are erased as China manufacturing contracts and an OPEC output hike looms.
Nearly all gains in U.S. crude oil for 2024 are erased as China manufacturing contracts and an OPEC output hike looms.
  • Sources told Reuters that OPEC+ delegates have indicated that the producers' group is still planning to increase oil output in October.
  • Manufacturing in China, meanwhile, fell to a six-month low in August

On Tuesday, U.S. crude oil futures dropped over 1%, almost reaching their year-end levels, due to OPEC+'s impending decision to increase production and China's sluggish economy.

Sources informed Reuters and Bloomberg that OPEC+ is still planning to increase oil production in October, as indicated by OPEC+ delegates.

Meanwhile, China's manufacturing decreased to a six-month low in August, as per recent data. Additionally, China is the world's second-largest importer of crude oil.

Here are Tuesday's energy prices:

  • The October contract price for crude oil is $71.35 per barrel, a decrease of $1.10, or 1.48%. To date in the year, the United States has seen a 1% increase in its crude oil.
  • The December contract price for oil is $73.61 per barrel, a decrease of $1.56, or 2.03%. To date, the global benchmark has fallen 2.4%.
  • The price of gasoline in October is $2.04 per gallon, a decrease of 5 cents or 2.53%. So far this year, gasoline prices have fallen by 2.8%.
  • The October contract price for natural gas is $2.19 per thousand cubic feet, which is an increase of nearly 7 cents or 3.15%. Despite this, year-to-date gas prices have decreased by 12.7%.

OPEC+ could reverse its planned production increase based on market conditions, according to Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. The best course for OPEC+ would be to wait until December given slowing demand in China.

Major production disruptions in Libya are being overshadowed by the prospect of increased oil output from OPEC and a weak economy in China.

The eastern government in Benghazi has attempted to halt production and exports in Libya, resulting in a conflict with the U.N.-backed government in Tripoli over the leadership of the country's central bank. On Monday, the Libyan National Oil Corporation declared a force majeure at the El-Feel oil field.

by Spencer Kimball

Markets